Wednesday 24 August 2016

Wamalwa in Nairobi--2017, 2022 or both?

The battle for the Nairobi Gubernatorial seat is a micro battle, a part of the bigger mathematics of national leadership. There are many forces involved and the recent entry of Eugene Wamalwa is a clear sign that this will be a tough battle ground.

 Jubilee began by an attempt to woo the current governor but realized that he was not willing to commit what would be seen as political suicide for him. Sonko was an option but for whatever reason, he fell out with the powers that be and he slid out of the game plan. He is definitely a force to reckon with in the City politics but as it appears, he is now swimming alone, and swimming against a very strong tide.

Enter Eugene Wamalwa. His entry is exciting pundits who believe the game plan involves more than just 2017 but also 2022. For 2017, Wamalwa is a good shot, Jubilee using a westerner to fight Cord in the city. If the cord vote is divided and added to the Mount Kenya vote, it is believed Nairobi will go Jubilee.

For 2022, it is possible Wamalwa is being groomed to play a central role, again, playing the western card to neutralize Cord. His standing in Nairobi is therefore supposed to give him a national stature as well as test his mettle in a high octane political battle. If he proves himself, the alignments for 2022 might just begin to fall in place.